April 6, 2025 Presentation Open Access

Brettfeld, Katrin; Richter, Thomas; Wetzels, Peter

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    <subfield code="a">&lt;p&gt;This paper investigates how global conflicts and crises influence public attitudes toward democracy in Germany, particularly fears related to war, climate change, and migration.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;As part of the study &amp;quot;People in Germany: International&amp;quot;, online surveys are conducted every two to three months. Our data tracks how perceptions of societal challenges and associated concerns shape attitudes toward democracy over time.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;A new measurement is used to gauge acceptance of autocracy, defined by the rejection of democratic norms like open debate and parliamentary oversight, and support for more authoritarian leadership.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Results indicate that about 30% of the German population exhibits some level of autocracy acceptance, with variations across political affiliations&amp;mdash;from 14.8% among Green Party voters to 50.1% among AfD (a far right party) supporters.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Acceptance of autocracy is not confined to right-wing or lower-educated groups but spans various social demographics.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Concerns over access to necessities&amp;mdash;housing, energy, work, and food&amp;mdash;aggravated by fears of war, climate change, or migration, increase the likelihood of supporting autocracy.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Those who view political leaders as incompetent are even more inclined toward authoritarian preferences.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Finally, we present results from vignette experiments which are used to assess whether experimentally manipulated perceptions of military conflicts, such as the Russian war in Ukraine or the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, have a causal effect on autocracy acceptance among respondents.&lt;/p&gt;</subfield>
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    <subfield code="a">The Influence of Global Crises on Acceptance of Autocracy in Germany. Paper presented at the 82nd Annual Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago (IL), April 3rd, 2025.</subfield>
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