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Brettfeld, Katrin; Kleinschnittger, Janosch; Richter, Thomas; Wetzels, Peter
@misc{brettfeld_katrin_2024_16159, author = {Brettfeld, Katrin and Kleinschnittger, Janosch and Richter, Thomas and Wetzels, Peter}, title = {{Am Vorabend der US-Präsidentschaftswahlen: Repräsentative Befunde zu Erwartungen, Wünschen und Sorgen der Menschen in Deutschland. UHH MOTRA Spotlight No. 11. Hamburg: Universität Hamburg.}}, month = oct, year = 2024, note = {{Executive Summary As part of the "People in Germany: International" study, a representative sample of 2,931 adults aged between 18 and 70 were asked about their wishes and expectations regarding the outcome of the election around a week before the US presidential election on 5th of November 2024. Furthermore survey participants were asked what political consequences an election victory for Trump or Harris would presumably have for Europe and Germany and what fears people associate with this. Only 23% say that they do not care at all about the outcome of the US presidential election. A large majority of 72.4% would like to see an election result in favor of Kamala Harris. Only 21.2% would prefer Donald Trump to win the election. However, 37.4% consider the likely outcome of the election to be completely open. 40.8% believe Harris is likely to win the election. Only 21.8% expect Trump to win. Just under a quarter of respondents (23.1%) agree with the statement that "more politicians like Donald Trump should also come to power in Germany". In comparison two thirds (68.7%) of respondents agree that "more women like Kamala Harris should be in government positions in Germany". If Donald Trump wins the election, negative consequences for Europe are expected much more frequently than if Harris wins. 74.0% of respondents expect economic disadvantages for Europe if Trump wins the election. In the event of Harris winning the election, this figure is only 27.1%. If Trump wins the election, 73.7% expect Europe to be left to its own devices militarily. If Harris is elected, only 26.6% expect this. If Trump is elected, 61.1% are worried about the future of democracy. If Harris is elected, the figure is only 28.5%.}}, doi = {10.25592/uhhfdm.16159}, url = {https://doi.org/10.25592/uhhfdm.16159} }